Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 18.577215 21.509335 24.685307 28.372411 32.526130 37.051582 42.345727
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 14.276018 18.408993 23.300322 29.474581 37.014833 45.875674 57.023874
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 10.969386 15.564161 21.439970 29.406111 39.811289 52.816170 70.156322
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 9.260740 14.262144 21.091066 30.913937 44.464479 62.253741 87.078668
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 7.730429 12.839504 20.244323 31.474672 47.728922 69.995413 102.301702
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.447859 11.498145 19.235509 31.552823 50.168954 76.654688 116.420346
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.447266 10.387075 18.357247 31.622783 52.474066 83.162194 130.655672
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.057419 10.201335 18.865475 33.822103 58.090521 94.791443 152.975807
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.584811 9.778156 18.903071 35.223526 62.526021 104.897562 173.619715
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.159073 9.360114 18.875241 36.473558 66.767299 114.923419 194.684282
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.615957 8.614899 18.156551 36.428819 68.820701 121.588258 210.864934
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.051032 7.717449 17.026387 35.502716 69.251309 125.605075 223.003808
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.556336 6.888827 15.940398 34.583632 69.696467 129.818077 235.986250
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.249806 6.423698 15.515886 34.872753 72.331238 137.897104 255.869044
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.922421 5.839082 14.756668 34.410903 73.528862 143.568412 272.027715
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.795832 5.728352 14.998078 35.985362 78.670077 156.431176 301.145624
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.613709 5.432080 14.779384 36.565699 81.914280 166.065682 325.108135
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.422468 5.066977 14.346580 36.632044 84.131667 173.941024 346.344788
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.256474 4.734634 13.940384 36.702956 86.343895 181.906412 368.110572
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.231619 4.823585 14.584423 39.199494 93.711381 199.918139 408.922983
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.162417 4.758316 14.827077 40.789563 99.285630 214.794384 444.627037
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.090462 4.668042 14.991567 42.207602 104.585081 229.399243 480.455507
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.966987 4.372262 14.563588 42.156634 106.702282 237.901915 505.211816